SSCI期刊（影响因子3.089）,Land Use Policy,2018,73:195-204.

Farmers' Response to the Winter Wheat Fallow Policy in the Groundwater Funnel Area of China

Hualin Xie ^{a, b,*}, Lingjuan Cheng ^a, Hua Lu ^{c, * *}

a           Research Center of Land Management, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China

b          Co-Innovation Center of Institutional Construction for Jiangxi Eco-Civilization, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China.

c           Institute of Ecological Civilization, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China;

 

Abstract: Farmers' response to the winter wheat cropping policy in groundwater funnel areas is the key factor in promoting fallow plans. Therefore, this paper discusses the farmers’ responses and the influencing factors for the winter wheat policy in the Hebei groundwater funnel area by using an ordered multivariate logistic model; it aims to provide a theoretical basis for scientifically and rationally developing a rotation policy in the groundwater funnel area. The results revealed that cultivated land has a negative impact on the fallow policy. The number of households, the proportion of farmers, the per capita area of cultivated land, and machinery use have a negative impact on support for the fallow policy. The dependency ratio and land fragmentation have a significant positive impact on support for the fallow policy. Occupation has the greatest marginal effect on understanding of the fallow policy and satisfaction with fallow policy compensation, dependency ratio has the greatest marginal effect on support for the fallow policy. Finally, this paper proposes some policy and other recommendations such as the transfer of the surplus labor force, stronger government supervision of fallow policy compensation, stronger cultural education and greater promotion of the fallow policy.

 

Keywords: Cultivated land; Fallow policy; Land use; Ordered logistic regression; Groundwater funnel; China